April 5th, 2016
Thune has officially won the republican nomination for President of the United States this week. The good news for Thune has come with mixed results in the general. Florida and Virginia moved from tossup to lean Thune while Nevada moved from lean Warner to tossup. Ohio and Michigan on the other hand have moved once again to the tossup column from lean Thune.
| Party | Nominee | Nat % | Δ % | Est. EV | Δ EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Warner |
39.8
|
-0.1
|
211
|
-6
|
| Republican | Thune |
42.1
|
+0.9
|
258
|
+18
|
April 12th, 2016
Tough week for Warner. He makes gains in Nevada, Colorado, Wisconsin; moving each one column towards him and Thune moves the big three tossups into his column. Thune is once again poised to win the election without any support from tossup states.
| Party | Nominee | Nat % | Δ % | Est. EV | Δ EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Warner |
40.7
|
-0.1
|
220
|
+15
|
| Republican | Thune |
42.1
|
+0.0
|
286
|
+28
|
April 19th, 2016
Last week had a record low number of tossup states with only Iowa, Wisconsin and Michigan. This week was a good week for those hoping for a close contest. Virginia, Pennsylvania and Ohio moved from lean Thune to tossup. Nevada and Colorado moved from lean Warner to tossup. Last week 3 this week there are 8 tossups.
The big winner was of course Warner as a close race, even one where he is still likely to lose, is a lot better than a Thune blowout.
| Party | Nominee | Nat % | Δ % | Est. EV | Δ EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Warner |
41.0
|
+0.3
|
205
|
-15
|
| Republican | Thune |
42.5
|
+0.4
|
235
|
-51
|
April 19th, 2016
Warner for the first time has moved Iowa into his column. In turn, both Ohio and Michigan have moved into Thune's column.
Pennsylvania has seen a real shift moving from a three point republican advantage to a three and a half point democratic advantage. This leaves Virginia as the only tossup that the democrats do not currently lead in.
Warner since the middle of March has ushered his resources to bring about a tightening of the race.
Pennsylvania has seen a real shift moving from a three point republican advantage to a three and a half point democratic advantage. This leaves Virginia as the only tossup that the democrats do not currently lead in.
Warner since the middle of March has ushered his resources to bring about a tightening of the race.
| Party | Nominee | Nat % | Δ % | Est. EV | Δ EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Warner |
41.5
|
+0.5
|
211
|
+6
|
| Republican | Thune |
42.6
|
+0.1
|
269
|
+34
|
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