Gillibrand Campaign
The big week is here. I have cancelled all my advertisements save for the best attack ad against Warner to purchase airtime on the networks. The national momentum and the momentum in each of the super tuesday swing states favour me. I've had momentum before in states only to see it swing against me, I'm looking for a late game changer in my direction. I'm sending out feelers to Hagan, promising a cabinet position if she throws her support behind me before the big day.
I'm campaigning in Texas and Missouri the day before the election.
Even though my campaign hinges on the result for super tuesday I cannot stop planning beyond that. I'm setting up headquarters in Mississippi and Utah.
Maine is in 10 days, Utah/Mississippi in 12, Illinois in 19 and Louisiana in 23. Warner is favoured in each of them, but I am hoping a super tuesday win will bring us neck and neck.
*It should be noted that the Gillibrand campaign refers to the planning of a week and the results are shown below.
Democratic Primary
Hagan endorses Gillibrand!
Even with the perfect timing of the Hagan endorsement super tuesday was a shellacking. Warner won Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts Minnesota, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia. A day later he also picked up Hawaii.
While the delegate allocation makes the victory a bit hollow Warner is poised to easily win 23 of the remaining states, contest in 8 and only lose 4. It does appear to be that Warner will win the democratic nominee for president of the United States.
| Candidate | Nat % | Delegates | Est. Del |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuomo |
15.3
|
316
|
494
|
| Warner |
28.3
|
627
|
2580
|
| Gillibrand |
26.1
|
491
|
1991
|
| Casey |
7.1
|
0
|
92
|
| Hagan |
0.4
|
0
|
0
|
| O'Malley |
4.1
|
0
|
56
|
Ayotte Endorses Rubio!
Thune wins in Washington, Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Massachusetts North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia.
In mirror fashion a single nominee won all super tuesday states. The contest appears to be all but over as Thune has amassed a substantial lead of over 550 delegates.
| Candidate | Nat % | Delegates | Est. Del |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thune |
28.2
|
708
|
1473
|
| Rubio |
24.2
|
140
|
202
|
| Christie |
16.5
|
11
|
88
|
| Daniels |
6.9
|
4
|
57
|
| Ryan |
11.2
|
8
|
112
|
| Ayotte |
0.9
|
0
|
0
|
General Election
While not official it appears to that this race will now be Thune vs Warner. News of this development pushed polling back towards the republican with a Wisconsin moving once again to the lean republican column.
| Party | Nat % | Δ % | Est. EV | Δ EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |
38.1
|
-0.2
|
211
|
0
|
| Republican |
40.8
|
+0.2
|
279
|
+10
|
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