Thursday, 22 November 2012

2016 Election - Super Tuesday 3 weeks out


Gillibrand Campaign

I'm building campaign operations in Massachusetts and Colorado. Half of the 12 targeted states do not currently have get out of the vote operations with 3 weeks left.

I am still approaching Schweitzer about a possible endorsement ahead of the big week. The talks look promising but he is a hard man to read.

I'm set to campaign in Arizona and Virginia. Looking to swing a few delegates from the Virginian Senator to my camp.

*It should be noted that the Gillibrand campaign refers to the planning of a week and the results are shown below.

Democratic Primary

In a stunning turn of events Governor Schweitzer has endorsed Senator Gillibrand for the Democratic Nomination! This in a week without any primaries Gillibrand has won big.

Warner has given up his lead in all the upcoming contests save for his home state of Virginia. This really has become a dog fight.

 Arizona is 12 days away and 19 days from now is super tuesday.

CandidateNat %DelegatesEst. Del
Cuomo
12.9
56
56
Schwietzer
0.4
0
0
Warner
21.7
77
2235
Gillibrand
22.2
73
2196
Beebe
2.6
0
18
Casey
6.0
0
251
Hagan
6.0
0
58
O'Malley
3.6
0
120




Republican Primary

Thune by a hair! Thune strikes ahead of Rubio in the number of delegates won as he picks up all 24 from Maine.

With Arizona 2 weeks away and Super Tuesday a week after there is no clear favourite in the race for republican

CandidateNat %DelegatesEst. Del
Thune
19.0
128
427
Rubio
20.5
109
370
Christie
14.1
2
79
Jindal
8.4
0
61
Daniels
4.3
0
55
Ryan
8.7
0
52
Brownback
4.0
0
48
Ayotte
3.9
4
13


General Election

Colorado has moved from lean republican to tossup and New Hampshire has moved from tossup to lean democratic.

PartyNat %Δ %Est. EVΔ EV
Democratic
37.5
-0.2
211
+4
Republican
40.3
+0.2
279
-9



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