With only two weeks separating us from super tuesday this is my last chance to build infrastructure to get out the vote. I'm building in Tennessee and Oklahoma.
This week I'm campaigning in Vermont, Missouri, Texas and on the day of the primary Arizona.
*It should be noted that the Gillibrand campaign refers to the planning of a week and the results are shown below.
Democratic Primary
Warner wins in Arizona!
Warner won Arizona but by less points than predicted. Gillibrand has positioned herself to pick up the majority of delegates on super tuesday, now just 5 days away.
| Candidate | Nat % | Delegates | Est. Del |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuomo |
13.5
|
77
|
175
|
| Warner |
24.0
|
107
|
2735
|
| Gillibrand |
22.8
|
102
|
2034
|
| Casey |
6.3
|
0
|
138
|
| Hagan |
6.9
|
0
|
53
|
| O'Malley |
3.6
|
0
|
78
|
Jindal endorses Thune! Thune wins both Arizona and Michigan!
The majority of supporters that once followed Jindal have shifted with the Governor's endorsement of Thune. Thune finds himself in the drivers seat just 5 days before super tuesday with most of the states favouring him for republican nominee.
| Candidate | Nat % | Delegates | Est. Del |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thune |
25.5
|
174
|
1157
|
| Rubio |
22.4
|
122
|
197
|
| Christie |
15.1
|
2
|
80
|
| Jindal |
1.2
|
0
|
0
|
| Daniels |
5.3
|
0
|
55
|
| Ryan |
11.2
|
0
|
111
|
| Ayotte |
4.1
|
4
|
13
|
General Election
For the first time this election cycle the republicans are not outright winners of the election. Republicans are still very much in charge as they lead in Pennsylvania, Colorado and Wisconsin.
Democrats move three states closer with Colorado shifting from lean republican to tossup and both New Hampshire and Nevada moving from tossup to lean democratic.
| Party | Nat % | Δ % | Est. EV | Δ EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |
38.3
|
+0.2
|
211
|
+10
|
| Republican |
40.6
|
+0.2
|
269
|
-9
|
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